This Article Full Text (PDF) References Alert me when this article is cited Alert me if a correction is posted Services Email this article to a friend Similar articles in this journal Alert me to new issues of the journal Add to Saved Citations Download to citation manager Request Permissions Request Reprints Add to My Marked Citations Citing Articles Citing Articles via HighWire Citing Articles via Google Scholar Citing Articles via Scopus Google Scholar Articles by Holsti, O. R. Articles by North, R. C. Search for Related Content Social Bookmarking                   What's this?

Measuring Affect and Action in Inter National Reaction Models

Empirical Materials From the 1962 Cuban Crisis

Studies in International Conflict and Integration Stanford University, Palo Alto, California

Richard A. Brody

Studies in International Conflict and Integration Stanford University, Palo Alto, California

Robert C. North

Studies in International Conflict and Integration Stanford University, Palo Alto, California

The Cuban crisis of October 1962 may be analyzed from several perspectives. The investigator may focus his attention on the unique characteristics of the situation and sequence of events which are outlined here. The analyst of international relations may, as is suggested in this paper, examine these events so as to permit relevant comparisons with other crisis situations, both those resolved by war and those eventually resolved by non-violent means. The conceptual framework for this analysis is a two-step mediated stimulus-response model in which the acts of one nation are considered as inputs to other nations. Such psycho-political variables as perceptions and expressions of hostility are traced over time by means of content analysis of documents to test the consistency of the model. In the Cuban crisis, both sides tended to perceive rather accurately the nature of the adversary's actions and then proceeded to act at an appropriate level. Efforts by either party to delay or reverse the escalation toward conflict were generally perceived as such, and responded to in like manner.

Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 1, No. 3-4, 170-189 (1964)
DOI: 10.1177/002234336400100303


CiteULike    Connotea    Del.icio.us    Digg    Reddit    Technorati    What's this?

This article has been cited by other articles:

				S. J. Brams and W. Mattli Theory of Moves: Overview and Examples Conflict Management and Peace Science, January 1, 1993; 12(2): 1 - 39. [Abstract] [PDF]

				S. J. Brams and D. Wittman Nonmyopic Equilibria in 2x2 Games Conflict Management and Peace Science, January 1, 1981; 6(1): 39 - 62. [PDF]